Fourth Quarter Updates

Updates

Of course plenty is still up in the air but hopefully this is the quarter where we at least get some clarity on a few key issues (not the least of which, our next President) – which will shape policies and adjustments for some time to come.
Well documented over these last months is the continued operational breakdowns throughout the supply chain - from a lack of equipment, vessel space or consistent transit times to significant port congestion, lack of chassis and truck shortage.


According to the various carriers we have spoken to, they don’t expect this to change anytime soon. Attached a few fun facts and validation from various sources that the pain you are experiencing is not all in your head or “fake news”.

We should all continue to expect a bumpy ride.


Ocean Freight Rates

  • Up until today a real mixed bag carrier by carrier, no carriers are announcing rates but instead quietly adjusting according to their specific market intention
  • Nov 1. HPL and ONE intend to impose GRI at around $400 but no official notice or update is published so far.
  • Wan Hai increase $150 from Vietnam
  • COSCO increases 45’ rates by $300


Space

Demand remains strong for all lanes especially for EPRC and Vietnam. Most of the vessels are fully booked until mid Nov in these regions.


  • Vietnam, Ningbo, Shanghai and Busan are experiencing heavy port congestion with significant vessel delays.
  • Feeder connection in Tianjin is still affected by the port congestion in Busan.
  • Vessel delay in Ningbo and Tianjin is up to 5 days and 14 days respectively and about 1-2 days in other areas.
  • Current space situation for different China origins can be found in the spreadsheet attached.

Equipment Status

  • Most of the China origins are encountering equipment shortage for 40HQ and 40GP especially in SPRC and Vietnam.
  • Equipment supply for certain carriers in some origin become critical and carriers started limiting the space released for certain equipment.
  • Local equipment situation can be found in the Space situation tab as attached.

News

Featured News at a Glance

Tariff Memo from CBP

CBP provided an update regarding Exception to the Reciprocal Tariffs for shipments that loaded on vessel prior to April 5th 12:01am EDT and are in transit. The update states that the exemption will only apply to these shipments if the shipment is arriving AND released BEFORE May 27th, 2025 12:01 EDT.

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Market Update Q2 2025: No.17

Today is "Liberation Day" AKA the day all the tariffs go into effect, even though it's a Wednesday, it is an appropriate day for a market update: Attached is the current tariff announcement in terms of amount by country - any country not mentioned is now a 10% increase, but it is an ever-changing landscape, and we don't have information yet on tariff stacking which is the real question for China and a few others

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Market Update Q1 2025: No.16

March 23 and April 1 increases: For most of March, vessels have not been full and import demand/volume has not been strong for various reasons. Not the least of these are the tariff implications, and I'm sure everyone has heard plenty about them at this point.

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Pegasus to Attend 52nd NCBFAA Annual Conference

Join us at NCBFAA Annual Conference 2025 April 6-9

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